2026 House Races — Prediction Market Odds

Dem projected

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Rep projected

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Toss-ups

—

Total races

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Projected House composition after 2026

All 435 seats on ballot · 218 needed for majority

Democrats

—

— safe + — competitive

majority threshold

D: 218

R: 218

—

Republicans

—

— safe + — competitive

← Dem seats (projected) ← 435 seats on ballot → Rep seats (projected) →

Dem (not up)

Safe Dem

Likely Dem

Lean Dem

Toss-up

Lean Rep

Likely Rep

Safe Rep

Rep (not up)

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Safe Dem (90%+)

Likely Dem (75–89%)

Lean Dem (55–74%)

Toss-up (45–54%)

Lean Rep (55–74%)

Likely Rep (75–89%)

Safe Rep (90%+)

Safe Dem (not tracked)

Safe Rep (not tracked)

Race details

District ↕	Incumbent	Dem % ↕	Rep % ↕	Ind %	Leading	Odds bar	Avg odds ↕	Rating

Source: Kalshi live API · competitive seats only · fallback: CPR ratings → approximate probabilities Non-competitive seats use Cook Political Report ratings